ANALYSIS

06

Dec

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Karabakh, Russia, Turkey

The interests of Russia, Turkey and Iran in Karabakh crisis

PEJOURNAL - The fire of the Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia flared up again in the autumn of 2020. This time, Turkey has more openly supported Azerbaijan than ever before, and this has led to a more serious stance by Russia and Iran. Due to its geopolitical importance in the Caucasus region, Karabakh Conflict-Strategic Thought Institute has facilitated the presence and influence of regional and trans-regional actors. Under the pretext of the opposition of some Armenians to the Karabakh region to belong to Azerbaijan (Karabakh), the region was occupied by Armenia after the collapse of the Soviet Union. The…

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06

Dec

Anthony Blinken, Avril Haines, Barack Obama, CIA, foreign policy, Joe Biden, John Brennan, National Security

Biden’s national security and foreign policy team

PEJOURNAL - Biden says “America is back” and “ready to lead the world.” The former vice president’s comments are an apparent reflection of what the world community should expect under his foreign policy mandate, because his team reflects the fact that America is once again ready to mess with the world for all the wrong reasons. Under the circumstances, expect Biden to not retreat from America’s endless wars. It will also sit once again at the head of the United Nations Security Council table releasing sanctions resolutions to confront sovereign nations with much needed help from Western allies, ready to stand…

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05

Dec

Ansarullah, Military, Missile, UAV, weapons, Yemen

The evolution of Ansarullah’s military-weapons capability

PEJOURNAL - Ansarullah's (Yemen's Houthi movement) successful offensive-defensive operations over the past year have owed a remarkable shift in its military capabilities. The present article examines the evolution of Ansarullah's military-weapons capability and its impact on changing the balance of war. Carrying weapons by the Yemeni people and tribes has long been an accepted tradition. Yemen is said to have more than three times the population of weapons. This has intensified in recent years due to the critical situation in Yemen, and even Yemeni children are able to carry and use weapons without any restrictions. As one of Yemen's frontier…

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28

Nov

civilization, ethno-cultural assimilation, Greeco-Roman, neo-capitalist, O. Spengler, The decline of the West, West

The decline of the West

BY: Zory Petzova Translated BY: Costantino Ceoldo PEJOURNAL - The eponymous bestseller " The decline of the West" by O. Spengler, published exactly a century ago, has caused several generations of readers to melancholy pining at the idea of ​​the inevitable decline inherent in the fate of Western civilization. Despite having perfectly grasped the causes of a decadent perspective, Spengler's thought has the theoretical flaw of considering the history of every civilization as a biological organism which, having completed its natural stages of development, eventually dies. In reality, what dies is not the physical body of civilization, but its elites…

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22

Nov

China, Donald Trump, Europe, Iran, JCPOA, Nuclear Program, Russia, SANCTIONS, Trump administration, USA

US sanctions against Iran under Trump

BY: Political Economy Journal PEJOURNAL - U.S. government under Trump imposed many sanctions on Iran to force the Islamic Republic to accept the security interests of the West. This note assesses the characteristics of these sanctions. On May 8, 2018, US President Donald Trump kept his promise to leave JCPOA. The move marked the beginning of a policy called "maximum pressure" to force Iran to negotiate favorably with the West in the nuclear, missile and regional spheres. Sanctions, number and objectives The Trump government had imposed sanctions on Iran six times before leaving JCPOA, but then imposed sanctions on Iran…

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22

Nov

Algeria, colonialism, France, French media, North African

French media malicious maneuvers remains hatched against stability in Algeria

BY: Hana Saada PEJOURNAL - French media maneuvers continue attempting to sap the stability of Algeria with the broadcast of biased documentaries aiming at spreading falsehood and tarnishing the image of the country that kicked out the French colonizer from its territories in 1962. The French television channel M6 broadcasted, two months, a program, entitled: “Enquête Exclusive” (Exclusive Inquiry). This 75-minute report, bearing the name: “Algeria, The Land of All revolts” which was filmed clandestinely in a "hidden camera" mode, portrays falsified and biased testimonies on Hirak “, the popular peaceful protests that erupted in the country in February 2019,…

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20

Nov

China, Indo-Pacific, Influence, Powers of Persuasion, U.S.

Influence of U.S. Versus Chinese Powers of Persuasion in Indo-Pacific region

"China's Influence Is Economic, While America's Is Diplomacy and Defense” BY: RAND PEJOURNAL - U.S. policymakers and experts are focused on two central questions about long-term strategic competition between the United States and the People's Republic of China (PRC): How do we assess how well the United States is doing relative to China, and which country has more influence in the Indo-Pacific region? RAND Project AIR FORCE researchers addressed these two questions by first defining what influence means in the context of great-power competition and creating a framework to measure U.S. versus PRC influence. The result brings into focus a…

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15

Nov

Cyprus, East Mediterranean, Energy, energy economy, Energy Right, Energy Security, gas, Mediterranean, Oil, Turkey

Getting East Mediterranean Energy Right

BY: Nikos Tsafos* PEJOURNAL - This was a tumultuous summer in the Eastern Mediterranean. On August 12, there was a collision between a Greek frigate and a Turkish frigate as the two navies circled the Turkish survey vessel Oruc Reis. Military exercises drew in forces from the United States, Russia, and France. The United States, Germany, and NATO each tried to mediate between Greece and Turkey. The Mediterranean members of the European Union held a summit, leading French president Emmanuel Macron to tweet “Pax Mediterranea” (whatever that means). Russia offered to help lower tensions, and Greece announced a massive weapons…

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14

Nov

ASEAN, China, Indo-Pacific, Mutual Defence Treaty, Quad, Quadrilateral Security Dialogue

The Quad; A Complement or Replacement for ASEAN?

BY: Gabriel Joel P. Honrada* PEJOURNAL - There are two emerging guarantors of the multilateral rules-based order in the Indo-Pacific. First is the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad) between the US, Australia, Japan, and India. Second is the Association of Southeast Asian States (ASEAN). Both organisations attempt to uphold the rules-based order in the Indo-Pacific, albeit via different means. The Quad provides a tangible enforcing presence and backs up the rules-based order in the Indo-Pacific with the threat of military force. In comparison, ASEAN takes a softer approach of interaction, socialisation, and integration to preserve the same. In view of China’s…

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13

Nov

Ansar allah, Houthi movement, Muslim Brotherhood, Turkey, West Asia, Yemen

Reviving Turkey’s role in Yemen; Its advantages and risks

PEJOURNAL - Turkey's neo-Ottoman foreign policy in West Asia in recent years has made the country one of the most important and interfering players in regional changes. Although in these interventions, the pragmatism of this country has been preferred to the ideological dimension of foreign policy as in the past, but behind such an approach, supporting the currents close to the Muslim Brotherhood and the alliance with Qatar in the region has been very important. And for this reason, the type of convergences and divergences of this country in West Asia is largely influenced by Brotherhood tendencies. The kind of…

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